Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COMP5692 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 29.929456 31.968015 34.164485 36.723135 39.642838 42.896721 46.834746
2025-10-26 27.111445 29.835808 32.938198 36.786444 41.511967 47.240437 54.904556
2025-11-02 25.178987 28.188737 31.729148 36.292797 42.167210 49.707721 60.562913
2025-11-09 23.569942 26.724348 30.526263 35.574372 42.321185 51.403418 65.347434
2025-11-16 22.323725 25.571084 29.563187 34.995999 42.493877 53.021264 70.181545
2025-11-23 21.328709 24.646020 28.794428 34.563812 42.760282 54.729024 75.413512
2025-11-30 20.882149 24.372095 28.823120 35.173026 44.514236 58.837358 85.565292
2025-12-07 20.174039 23.711508 28.286531 34.934385 44.969047 60.940443 92.647053
2025-12-14 19.340733 22.841792 27.413516 34.142404 44.486983 61.405350 96.609446
2025-12-21 18.663319 22.145748 26.736339 33.579626 44.295680 62.318307 101.751453
2025-12-28 18.500515 22.124727 26.978243 34.371234 46.322136 67.445674 118.239659
2026-01-04 18.236816 21.950877 26.990633 34.808892 47.800464 71.812153 135.060682
2026-01-11 17.925325 21.714386 26.923739 35.155661 49.229338 76.512943 156.343063
2026-01-18 17.550400 21.374386 26.690132 35.223662 50.179272 80.448788 178.598621
2026-01-25 17.057293 20.847235 26.154286 34.764123 50.109756 82.117151 194.200428
2026-02-01 16.540318 20.268168 25.516627 34.098712 49.590755 82.661631 205.950080
2026-02-08 16.089831 19.768574 24.976633 33.561848 49.265592 83.620223 220.932828
2026-02-15 15.701689 19.345412 24.533957 33.160491 49.164033 85.121828 240.878178
2026-02-22 15.584049 19.304918 24.663995 33.726206 51.021955 92.096601 306.166474
2026-03-01 15.277574 18.980479 24.346537 33.504669 51.260569 94.787459 350.419672
2026-03-08 14.861766 18.485611 23.750165 32.768831 50.367462 94.083584 364.895022
2026-03-15 14.515999 18.084751 23.287040 32.245372 49.883704 94.522063 393.803617
2026-03-22 14.483245 18.140668 23.533113 32.981537 52.160476 103.975219 584.686672